What will happen this semester?

Tell us how likely you think the following events are to occur. HODP will score your predictions according to these rules, and participants with the highest scores will receive prizes at the end of the semester! A big thank you to FiveThirtyEight, whose annual NFL forecasting game was the inspiration for this project.

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Will we have in-person classes in the fall?

Your prediction: 50% chance that we have in-person classes

You'll gain 0 points if we have in-person classes.

You'll gain 0 points if we don't have in-person classes.

You can change your prediction until Apr 10.

Will Harvard schedule a date for class of 2020 commencement by the end of the semester?

Your prediction: 50% chance that Harvard schedules a date

You'll gain 0 points if Harvard schedules a date.

You'll gain 0 points if Harvard does not schedule a date.

You can change your prediction until Apr 10.